Risks and exit strategies
Novated leases are usually discussed in terms of tax savings, interest rates, and take-home pay.
What is discussed far less — and often glossed over in marketing material — is risk.
A novated lease is not just a way to finance a car. It is a multi-year contractual arrangement that ties together your employment, tax position, and a depreciating asset. When everything goes to plan, particularly for FBT-exempt EVs, the outcome can be very favourable.
When things don’t go to plan, the downside can be sudden and asymmetric.
Common risk scenarios include:
- job loss or redundancy,
- changing employers who do not support novated leasing,
- unpaid or extended leave,
- vehicle write-off where insurance does not fully cover the payout,
- policy changes (such as the EV FBT exemption ending).
In these situations, the same lease that looked attractive on a fortnightly cashflow basis can turn into a large post-tax lump-sum obligation, often without the tax benefits that justified the arrangement in the first place.
This section focuses on:
- how lease length and residuals affect risk,
- why early termination is disproportionately expensive and some ways to mitigate it, and
- how bad outcomes can get with worked examples
This section is not an exhaustive list of all caveats of novated lease; other potential caveats are discussed in "Is a novated lease right for me" article.
If earlier sections ask “Is a novated lease cheaper?”, this section asks another important question:
“What happens if circumstances change — and am I comfortable with that risk?”
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